Thinking in Bets Summary + TOC
" Thinking in bets starts with recognizing that there are exactly two things that determine how our lives turn out: the quality of our decisions and luck. " Annie Duke, Thinking in Bets
" Forcing ourselves to express how sure we are of our beliefs brings to plain sight the probabilistic nature of those beliefs, that what we believe is almost never 100% or 0% accurate but, rather, somewhere in between." Annie Duke, Thinking in Bets
" Truthseeking, the desire to know the truth regardless of whether the truth aligns with the beliefs we currently hold, is not naturally supported by the way we process information." Annie Duke, Thinking in Bets
" In most of our decisions, we are not betting against another person. Rather, we are betting against all the future versions of ourselves that we are not choosing." Annie Duke, Thinking in Bets
" Diversity and dissent are not the only checks on fallibility, but the only means of testing the ultimate truth of an opinion." Annie Duke, Thinking in Bets
" Our beliefs affect how we process all new things." Annie Duke, Thinking in Bets
" Instead of altering our beliefs to fit new information, we do the opposite, altering our interpretation of that information to fit our beliefs." Annie Duke, Thinking in Bets
" A great decision is the result of a good process, and that process must include an attempt to accurately represent our own state of knowledge. " Annie Duke, Thinking in Bets
