TIF by HDD stands for: Tentative Insight and Foresight by Hindsight Deliberately Designed
It is a Thinking Technique I've Designed to help improve your decision making process by iteratively (repeatedly) refining, updating and/or changing the premises on which you base your predictions, expectations, and anticipations.
Insight is defined as: the capacity to gain an accurate and deep understanding of someone or something.
Foresight is defined as: the ability to predict what will happen or be needed in the future.
Hindsight is defined as: understanding of a situation or event only after it has happened or developed.
With this technique we are stretching our mind to explore competing, opposed or even conflicting predictions. We do this to prepare ourselves if the unexpected, competing or undesired scenario were to actually happen.
Premises
- maybe you have noticed at yourself or others a tendency to make certain assumptions about the future and hold on to them / make decisions on them as if they were certainties/guaranteed to happen;
- inner feelings of certainty about a future event don't equate or mean that the event will happen as one feels;
- intuition, which could be viewed as feeling, is it fixed (you have it or you don't) or can be trained, developed? is it something innate or a function of your knowledge, experiences, etc?
- you matter. While you matter in how things turn out, take into account other Parts, People, Aspect, Components, Elements, Factors that play a role and may interfere in a positive or negative manner with the future outcomes you get;
- watch out for SELF FULFILLING PROPHECIES..., whereby you "predict" or expect something. This "prediction" or expectation comes true simply because you believe it will, and you'll behave in such a way as to to fulfill the belief.
- we often tend to confuse Possibility with Probability. just because something is possible to happen does that mean that it will actually happen to?
- when it comes to estimations, most of us have a tendency to make inaccurate estimations. we tend to either overestimate or underestimate what is going to happen;
Steps - How to Use it?
Step-1:
Think of a future situation, a decision you have to make, a problem you want to solve, a goal you want to achieve, something else related to the future, something that you think is going to happen in the future.
Step-2: Define the Future
What do you assume to be true abut the future?
What does your intuition tells you is going to happen?
What do you expect?
What do you predict will happen?
What do you want to happen?
How would like things to turn out?
What is your desired outcome?
Step-3: Define the Unexpected
Now take a different approach and imagine that for some reasons things didn't went as expected or predicted.
The following possibilities could be true:
we can get more than what we have expected or less than what we have anticipated;
we can get more or less in a positive or negative way;
Step-4: Evaluate the Unexpected
Mentally or even better on a piece of paper assess the:
Impact: What impact would have on you what matters to you?
Meaning: What would it mean for you and those you care about?
Relevance: How relevant would it be compared to other events?
Consequences: What would be the likely consequences over the short and long term?
Step-5: Preparation
- What measures do you have to put now in place so that if the unexpected were to actually happen you could deal or cope with it?
- What questions should you ask yourself?
- With whom should you speak? Who has dealt successfully with a similar situation and could give you some insights?
- In what ways could the unexpected be looked at as an opportunity?
- Identify other Measures to be implemented to deal in a resourceful way with the unexpected.
Step-6: Compare and Contrast
After the Event actually happened do the CoCoR-R technique.
Look for Similarities, Differences between your Predictions, Guesses, Expectations vs what actually happened.
Make sure to update or change your G.A.P.E mindset for future.
Examine and determine it you're dealing with random events/results or it's something consistent, repeatable that you can make reliable predictions about.
Prerequisites
Courage to honestly look at your prevailing thinking and acting patterns;
Deliberate practice to test, adapt and implement changes;
Take ownership for how you make decisions and your role in their outcomes;
When to Use it?
It's a useful technique for Decision making, Planning, Goal Achieving, Strategic thinking, Planning.
What to Expect?
If used on a consistent basis you'll improve you decision making process.
Related
BaFTa Model;
CoCoR-R Technique
G.A.P.E Mindset Assessment
